Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 20.959437 24.498046 28.791851 34.498455 42.066538 52.046099 66.737949
2025-01-19 15.975673 19.768748 24.812253 32.302158 43.727757 61.696035 95.238868
2025-01-26 15.357851 20.024367 26.791188 38.039349 58.077532 97.321309 201.569250
2025-02-02 14.187590 19.159982 26.815536 40.637871 68.498261 134.957143 397.146891
2025-02-09 12.433307 17.093681 24.494972 38.466327 68.678879 150.205378 586.135735
2025-02-16 11.700308 16.468853 24.362303 40.205336 78.140493 202.651524 1456.556253
2025-02-23 10.862846 15.548039 23.538849 40.327211 83.874884 253.467463 4231.698482
2025-03-02 10.126501 14.696950 22.690291 40.158438 88.854787 313.633894 27781.030047
2025-03-09 9.591673 14.120297 22.249039 40.770430 96.693558 415.210194 NaN
2025-03-16 8.851098 13.113371 20.854276 38.833614 95.220062 453.607679 NaN
2025-03-23 8.400605 12.573956 20.298394 38.813104 100.724131 582.702471 NaN
2025-03-30 7.839544 11.790655 19.169475 37.124208 99.087535 637.178608 NaN
2025-04-06 7.182632 10.821424 17.639040 34.319542 92.559749 620.090073 NaN
2025-04-13 6.643439 10.033754 16.415165 32.151245 88.022616 626.740697 NaN
2025-04-20 6.831970 10.582947 17.989430 37.846496 123.086059 2206.172594 NaN
2025-04-27 6.729480 10.576824 18.388905 40.425131 147.766034 7926.565988 NaN
2025-05-04 6.314612 9.940262 17.324452 38.270261 141.786476 9107.679403 NaN
2025-05-11 6.185254 9.846784 17.469102 39.995952 164.303266 149055.050342 NaN
2025-05-18 5.967626 9.563256 17.145922 40.116884 176.073730 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 5.751079 9.266989 16.762230 39.949418 185.918285 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 5.592132 9.075189 16.605802 40.556658 204.714244 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 5.315294 8.629060 15.798836 38.634759 195.858962 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 5.152500 8.406409 15.516684 38.614405 208.052190 NaN NaN